Combatir la pobreza reduciendo la desigualdad

Image: REUTERS
Image: REUTERS

Durante muchos años el análisis de la distribución de la renta y de la desigualdad tuvo un carácter secundario dentro la teoría económica, y generalmente se estudiaba dentro de las teorías del desarrollo, es decir, en el marco de comparaciones entre países. La convicción general de que para poder redistribuir la riqueza había que generarla primero hizo que el análisis del crecimiento y sus determinantes acaparara gran parte de la atención académica.

Pero los tiempos cambian, y hoy en día el estudio de la desigualdad es uno de los ámbitos de investigación económica más pujantes. Autores como Thomas Piketty o Branko Milanovic –dignos herederos del gran Tony Atkinson– aparecen hoy en las listas de economistas más influyentes y sus libros en las listas de los más vendidos.

No obstante, aún son muchas las voces que defienden que lo importante no es combatir la desigualdad, sino terminar con la pobreza. Los argumentos empleados, sin embargo, suelen adolecer de tres errores: confundir la desigualdad a nivel internacional con la desigualdad interna o intranacional, subestimar la relación entre desigualdad y crecimiento y sobreestimar la relación entre redistribución y crecimiento.

1. La desigualdad interna es la otra cara de la igualdad internacional

El primer error se deriva de un dato indudablemente positivo: la pobreza es hoy mucho menor que hace treinta años, y la desigualdad entre países ricos y países pobres es menor. Ello se debe, fundamentalmente, a la incorporación a la clase media mundial de gran parte de los habitantes de dos de los países más poblados del mundo, China e India. Pero esa reducción de la pobreza y de la desigualdad a nivel mundial se ha producido al tiempo que aumentaba la desigualdad interna dentro de la mayoría de los países desarrollados (proporcionalmente más en los anglosajones, sobre todo EEUU) y de una gran parte de los países en desarrollo (incluidos China e India).

Este error conceptual sobre el ámbito analítico de la desigualdad se añade al prejuicio que confunde el concepto de igualdad con el de igualitarismo, es decir, la defensa de una igualdad no sólo formal –de derechos y obligaciones– y de oportunidades, sino también de resultados. Pero eso no es así: los principales teóricos de la desigualdad defienden no sólo las ventajas, sino incluso la necesidad de una cierta desigualdad, basada exclusivamente en un mayor esfuerzo, capacidad o ambición relativos, para generar unos incentivos adecuados y promover el crecimiento. El problema no es que haya una cierta desigualdad: es que esta sea excesiva, calificación que habrá que modular no sólo en función de su valor (generalmente a través del Índice de Gini referido a la renta, complementado con los de riqueza y de consumo), sino también de su tendencia.

2. La desigualdad perjudica el crecimiento

El segundo error es olvidar que la desigualdad afecta negativamente al crecimiento. Así, estudios del FMI como los de Ostry et al. (2014) demuestran que un Índice de Gini elevado para la renta neta (después de impuestos y transferencias) está correlacionado con un menor crecimiento de la renta per cápita, y que un aumento de 5 puntos del índice reduce el crecimiento medio anual en 0,5 puntos; Dabla-Norris et al. (2015) estiman, por su parte, que un aumento de un punto en la renta acumulada por el quintil superior reduce el crecimiento en 0,08 puntos durante cinco años, mientras que un aumento en el quintil inferior lo aumenta. Desde la OCDE, a su vez, se calcula que una reducción del coeficiente de Gini en un punto se traduciría en un aumento del crecimiento el 0,8 por ciento del PIB a lo largo de un periodo de 5 años (Cingano, 2014).

Los canales a través de los cuales la desigualdad se traduce en un menor crecimiento son múltiples, pero podemos agruparlos en tres:

Vía riesgo político: aparte de los riesgos generales de que una desigualdad excesiva se traduzca en la captura del proceso político por unas élites –generalmente proteccionistas de sus monopolios– y los derivados de la menor cohesión social, el FMI señala que, en los países en desarrollo, la desigualdad excesiva suele traducirse en un descontento social que termina por minar la estabilidad política. Por otra parte, en los países desarrollados la desigualdad suele dificultar la defensa de políticas que contribuyen al crecimiento, como la liberalización comercial o la integración económica. El desarrollo de los nuevos populismos en Estados Unidos y Europa se ha visto sin duda favorecido por la percepción de una mayor desigualdad.

Vía riesgo financiero (a través del ahorro): La idea, defendida por economistas como Larry Summers, es que la desigualdad aumenta el ahorro, porque las clases más ricas consumen una menor proporción de su renta (la propensión marginal al consumo es decreciente con el nivel de renta). La acumulación del ahorro presiona a la baja los tipos de interés, estimulando los precios de los activos y alentando el endeudamiento, en especial el de los hogares de renta media y baja con bajos salarios. Algunos estudios del FMI alertan del peligro en los países desarrollados de este sobreendeudamiento derivado de la desigualdad, que a la larga puede desencadenar crisis como las de la Gran Depresión o la Gran Recesión.

Vía productividad: Una excesiva desigualdad limita la capacidad de las capas más bajas para asumir riesgos e invertir, especialmente en capital humano (formación), o la condiciona a su salud (especialmente en ausencia de cobertura médica), lastrando el crecimiento futuro.

3. La redistribución no perjudica al crecimiento

El tercer y último error es considerar que la redistribución perjudica el crecimiento porque destruye los incentivos. Sin embargo, diversas investigaciones concluyen que la redistribución, salvo que sea extrema, no incide negativamente en el crecimiento: los datos muestran que el crecimiento de la renta por habitante no es significativamente menor en los países con más redistribución, y que un esfuerzo redistributivo (diferencia en índices de Gini en rentas bruta y neta) de 13 puntos o más (como en gran parte de Europa occidental) lo que hace es simplemente reducir la duración de una etapa expansiva. Por supuesto, todo dependerá también de los detalles (tipo de impuesto y financiación).

Al mismo tiempo, la realidad demuestra que la mayor parte de los efectos redistributivos –diferencias entre el Indice de Gini de la renta buta y neta– se producen por la vía de los gastos, más que de los impuestos. El FMI destaca que el mantenimiento y mejora de infraestructuras es una de las mejores vías, y un reciente estudio de Fedea atribuye al gasto el 93% del efecto redistributivo en España.

Finalmente, tan importante o más que la redistribución a posteriori es la redistribución a priori, o predistribución, íntimamente ligada a la igualdad de oportunidades: el gasto público en educación, formación y sanidad o las políticas activas de empleo pueden ser el mejor modo de garantizar la igualdad de oportunidades y evitar una desigualdad posterior.

La desigualdad ha pasado ya a primer plano dentro de las políticas y recomendaciones del Fondo Monetario Internacional –iniciadas a raíz de su análisis de Bolivia– y del Banco Mundial, y es de esperar que el resto de organismos internacionales la incorpore a sus análisis. Por lo pronto, es bueno que se consolide la idea de que los recortes en sanidad o educación no sólo comprometen el crecimiento vía deterioro del capital humano, sino también vía incremento de la desigualdad.

Por otro lado, el propio FMI reconoce que la financiarización de la economía y el sobreendeudamiento de las familias de renta media y baja son factores que favorecen la desigualdad, lo que hace recomendables medidas macroprudenciales y de control del sistema financiero.

Desde el punto de vista de la estructura impositiva, siempre será mejor estimular impuestos sobre el capital –que fomentan la igualdad de oportunidades– que recargar excesivamente los impuestos sobre la renta o los salarios, así como favorecer una adecuada progresividad del sistema en su conjunto.

Finalmente, desde el punto de vista de los gastos, es preciso estimular tanto los que favorezcan la redistribución (infraestructuras) como los que promuevan la predistribución (desarrollo y nutrición en primera infancia, sanidad y educación universales y de calidad, formación profesional, políticas activas de empleo), incluyendo en su valoración los efectos externos sobre la desigualdad.

En conclusión, la reducción de la desigualdad no debe considerarse un subproducto de la lucha contra la pobreza, sino un elemento crucial de la estrategia de crecimiento de un país: no es posible crecer ni combatir la pobreza mientras existan niveles de desigualdad excesivos.

Artículo escrito en colaboración con el Blog NewDeal – Blog de Política Económica

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  9. Hi,

    This is an important public service announcement concerning our future well being. I found this information very interesting and should be viewed by everyone. Please take the time to read it over:

    We are heading towards a future in which they will mandate us to have an RFID microchip placed in our body. This chip will contain all our personal information, and we will lose much more of our privacy because of the tracking capabilities.

    Did you know this microchiop matches exactly with Biblical prophecy? Please read on!

    «He causes all, both small and great, rich and poor, free and slave, to receive a mark on their right hand or on their foreheads, and that no one may buy or sell except one who has the mark or the name of the beast, or the number of his name.

    Here is wisdom. Let him who has understanding calculate the number of the beast, for it is the number of a man: His number is 666» (Revelation 13:16-18 NKJV).

    Referring to the last days, this could only be speaking of a cashless money society, which we have yet to see, but are moving towards. Otherwise we could still buy or sell without the mark among others if physical money was still currency. This mark could not be spiritual, because the word references two distinct physical locations. If it was spiritual, it would only say in the forehead.

    We can see throughout the history of time how we are being conditioned through the process of convenience. More specifically with how we make payments. We went from physical money to credit and debit cards containing digital currency, to these cards having a microchip in them, to now being able to place your card near a device that will read its data. As well as self check-out lines in our market places and the cryptocurrency industry making a rapid climb in such form as bitcoin. These are all stepping stones for the powers that run this world to bring about their ultimate goal, that is to place a microchip in each and every one of us.

    RFID microchip implant technology is on the rise and will be the future of a one world cashless society.

    Continue on to see how it matches perfectly up with Biblical prophecy!

    From a YouTube video titled, «Warning From Man Who Designed RFID Microchip»

    Here are some notes from the video:

    «Carl Sanders sat in seventeen New World Order meetings with heads-of-state officials such as Henry Kissinger and Bob Gates of the C.I.A. to discuss their agenda on how to bring about this one-world system. The government commissioned Carl Sanders to engineer a microchip for identifying and controlling the peoples of the world-a microchip that could be inserted under the skin with a hypodermic needle(a quick, convenient process that would be slowly accepted by society).

    Mr. Sanders, with a team of engineers behind him, with US grant monies supplied by US tax dollars, took on this project and designed a microchip that is powered by a lithium battery, rechargeable through the temperature changes in our skin. Without having knowledge of the Bible(Mr. Sanders was not a follower of Christ at the time), these engineers spent one-and-a-half-million dollars doing research on the best and most convenient place to have the microchip inserted.

    These researchers discovered that the forehead and the back of the hand(the two places Revelation says the mark will go) are not just the most convenient locations, but are also the only viable places for rapid, consistent temperature changes in the skin to recharge the lithium battery. The chip is around seven millimeters in length, .75 millimeters in diameter, about the size of a grain of rice. It is capable of storing pages of information about you. All your general history, work history, crime record, health history, and financial data can be stored on this microchip.

    Mr. Sanders believes that this chip, which he regretfully helped design, is the «mark» spoken about in Revelation 13:16-18. The original Greek word for «mark» is «charagma,» which means a «scratch or etching.» It is also interesting to note that the number 666 is a word in the original Greek. The word is «chi xi stigma,» with the last part, «stigma,» also meaning «to stick or prick.»

    Mr. Sanders spoke with a doctor asking what would happen if the lithium contained within the RFID chip leaked into the body. The doctor responded by saying a terrible sore would appear in that location. This is what the book of Revelation has to say: «And the first(Angel) went, and poured out his vial on the earth; and there fell a noisome and grievous sore on the men which had the mark of the beast, and on them which worshipped his image» (Revelation 16:2).

    WHAT IS THE NAME OF THE BEAST, THE NUMBER OF ITS NAME? THE MYSTERY OF THE NUMBER 666 REVEALED?

    What I first want to mention, before I share my thoughts on the number of the beast, is that God confirms in threes. We can see this all throughout scripture: «For there are three that bear witness in heaven: the Father, the Word, and the Holy Spirit; and these three are one» (1 John 5:7 NKJV). «and that He was buried, and that He rose again the third day according to the Scriptures» (1 Corinthians 15:4 NKJV). «…Holy, holy, holy, Lord God Almighty, Who was and is and is to come!» (Revelation 4:8 NKJV). There are many more examples, but I thought I would just share three of them to make the point.

    Examining Revelation 13:16-18, the first group of three I would like to bring attention to is that the mark of the beast is described in three separate verses, 16, 17 and 18. The next three I see is in verse 16, «He causes all…» is followed by three contrasting categories of people, «both small and great, rich and poor, free and slave…». Then unto verse 17, it opens with, «and that no one may buy or sell except one who has…», followed by three explanations of what one must have to buy or sell, «…the mark or the name of the beast, or the number of his name». Now in verse 18, we read «Let him who has understanding calculate…», which is followed by, «the number of the beast, for it is the number of a man: His number is 666». The last three I see is the number 6 being used three times in a row. The reason I’m making this point is because of the number 666, as you will read below.

    «17: even that not any could buy or sell, except the one having the mark, or the name of the beast, or the number of its name» (Literal Greek Translation).

    Here we can see the mark being identified as having the name of the beast, and that name being identified as being a number. We can know that these attributes being described in verse 17 are all in one thing because the Bible warns of us about receiving the mark, singular. It is clear in verse 17 that we cannot buy or sell without the mark(being previously identified as a microchip), but why cant we buy or sell without the name of the beast, or the number of its name? What does that have to do with us buying or selling if the number of the beast only applies to identifying the Antichrist, as the common thought has been? So we need the number of the beast to buy or sell. What does this mean?

    «here the wisdom is, the one having the mind let him calculate the number of the wild beast, number for of human it is, and the number of it 666» (Revelation 13:8 Greek Translation).

    «Here is wisdom. Let him that has understanding count the number of the beast: for the number of man; and its number is six hundred sixty-six» (Jubilee Bible 2000 translation).

    «In this situation wisdom is needed. Let the person who has insight figure out the number of the beast, because it is a human number. The beast’s number is 666» (GOD’S WORD translation).

    The Greek word «anthrōpos» being used in verse 18 where it says «of human» is the Greek strongs concordance G444. The first two definitions of the word are «a human being, whether male or female», and, «generically, to include all human individuals». Could the number of the beast apply to all mankind? In the Greek, and other translations, you will notice the beast is described as an «it», instead of «him». The reason I’m making this point is because when a translation says «His number is 666», this would imply a singular person, the Antichrist. But by saying «the number of it 666», implies that it is of the beast system as a whole.

    Throughout the years there have been people trying to calculate numbers based on titles and names that calculate to the number 666 to identify one person. But from verse 18, I do not see where God is instructing us to count up to 666, but rather to count the number of the beast. This number is identified as 666. So the verse is telling us to count the number 666.

    What does it mean to count? It means to add up. So how could we add up 666? Remember my previous point about God confirming in threes. So logically, what would be the best way to count the number 666? To count it equally in threes based off the number. We cannot count it equally as 600+60+6, this would also bring us back to the start. We cannot count it as 600+600+600, or 60+60+60, because there are no zeroes in between or at the end of 666. The only option is 6+6+6=18. What is interesting is that the verse that reveals for us to count the number itself is verse 18, being the third verse out of three verses that describe the mark of the beast. What is 18 divided by 3? 6. So 3×6=18, or 6+6+6=18.

    Another interesting point is the only two other combinations(making a total of three possible combinations) for placing a «+» symbol in between the 6’s are 66+6=72, and 6+66=72. Adding 7+2 and 7+2 equals 18. Add both 72’s together and you get 144. Why the number 144 is interesting is because the verse following Revelation 13:18 is the first time in the Bible where the 144,000 are being described in detail: «Then I looked, and behold, a Lamb standing on Mount Zion, and with Him one hundred and forty-four thousand, having His Father’s name written on their foreheads…» (Revelation 14:1).

    Now if you add up all three numbers by counting 666 by moving the «+» symbol around, it would be 72+72+18=162. What is interesting about the number 162, is, if you divide 144,000 by 162, you get 888. The name of Jesus in Greek gematria adds up to 888. Revelation 14:1 not only mentions the 144,000, but also the Lamb who is Jesus.

    Applying the same format that I used with calculating the number 666, in which I got the numbers 144 and 162, they also bring interesting results bringing us to the number 18:

    – 14+4=18*

    – 16+2=18*

    – 1+4+4=(9), 1+6+2=(9), (9+9)=18*

    – 1+44=(45), 1+62=(63), (4+5)=9, (6+3)=9, 9+9=18* | (45+63)=108, 10+8=18*

    – 14+4=(18), 1+44=(45), (1+8)=9, (4+5)=9, 9+9=18* | (18+45)=[63] | 16+2=(18), 1+62=(63), (1+8)=9, (6+3)=9, 9+9=18* | (18+63)=[81] | [6+3]=9, [8+1]=9, 9+9=18* | [63+81]=144

    – 1+4+4=(9), 14+4=(18), 1+44=(45), (9+18+45)=[72] (any two combinations of (9, 18, 45, and 72 will add to 18*) | 1+6+2=(9), 16+2=(18), 1+62=(63), 9+18+63=[90] (any two combinations of (9, 18, 63, and 90 will get you 18*) | [7+2]=9, [9+0]=9, 9+9=18* | [72+90]=162

    Now what is interesting about the number for Jesus, 888, is that if you apply this same formula, you get 8+8+8=24. Why the number 24? Revelation chapter 4 tells us there are 24 elders seated around the throne of God. This is the same throne where Jesus sits.

    Now if you take 8+8+8=24, and 8+88=96, and 88+8=96, you get 24+96+96=216. Take 144,000 divided by 216 and you get 666. Remember that this was the same exact formula to get the number 162 out of counting 666 that brought about the number 888 when dividing 144,000 by 162. It is perpetual.

    With using the same formula of counting by adding the «+» symbol in between the numbers, why do all these numbers relate in such a way?

    Another interesting point to note is that if you add up all the numbers from 1 to 36, it totals 666. The number 36, as in three sixes? Could this be a hint that we should add up three sixes instead of perceiving the number as six-hundred sixty six?

    How does this all tie together? We know in this world we are identified by numbers in various forms. From our birth certificate to social security, as well as our drivers license, being identified based on a system of rulership. Therefore it is probable that the RFID microchip will contain a new identification that has a total of 18 characters. Could this be the name of the beast, the number of its name? The beast system that is identified by 18 characters? This would fit scripture that speaks of a mark that we need to buy or sell in our right hand or forehead, and that it also contains the number of the beast, during a future cashless money society.

    Revelation 13:11-15 tells us that a false prophet will arise deceiving many to take the mark of the beast because of the miracles he does before those dwelling on Earth. At all costs do not take it!

    «Then a third angel followed them, saying with a loud voice, “If anyone worships the beast and his image, and receives his mark on his forehead or on his hand, he himself shall also drink of the wine of the wrath of God, which is poured out full strength into the cup of His indignation. He shall be tormented with fire and brimstone in the presence of the holy angels and in the presence of the Lamb. And the smoke of their torment ascends forever and ever; and they have no rest day or night, who worship the beast and his image, and whoever receives the mark of his name» (Revelation 14:9-11).

    Did you hear about the woman from a major media outlet who reported a major event occurring approximately 20 minutes before it actually happened?

    It’s time we are told.

    A reporter from BBC reported the fall of World Trade Center 7 on September 11th 2001 approximately 20 minutes before it collapsed!

    Remember, WTC 7 did not get hit by anything, so there would be no reason to assume it would collapse. But she didn’t report on assumption, but that it in fact did collapse!

    How do you explain this? How do we explain this? The only logical explanation is that the power that orchestrated 9/11 is the same power that controls the major media outlets!

    Don’t believe me? See the broadcast yourself posted on YouTube titled: «BBC Reports 911, WTC 7 Collapse BEFORE it Happens»

    It gets even worse…

    Did you know there is other footage they don’t want us to see twice? I’m speaking of footage on the day of September 11th 2001 during the time the planes hit both Trade Towers. Eye witness reports say the following concerning the planes:

    – «No, it wasn’t a commercial airliner»
    – «…but it didn’t have any markings on it that I saw»
    – «no emblems, no logos»
    – «It definitely did not look like a commercial plane»
    – «I did not see any windows on the sides»
    – «It was a black plane, it looked like a fighter jet»
    – «It was black, it looks like a military plane»
    – «It was a military plane»

    This video also shares testimonies from firefighters who share their story being in the trade towers as bombs were going off(to weaken the steel beams of the buildings to cause the free fall collapse).

    As a terrorist, how could you smuggle bombs into the trade towers with all of its security systems which includes bomb sniffing dogs? Also, if terrorists did plant the bombs, then why weren’t we told about the bombs?!

    You can watch a video of this on YouTube by titled: «9/11 – THE FOOTAGE THEY DIDN’T LET YOU SEE TWICE (9/11 2001 Documentary)»

    What about the attack on the Pentagon? Was it really a plane that hit it, or something else, maybe a missle?

    Why did the FBI go around and confiscate camera footage from the surrounding buildings not releasing them to the public when they clearly showed us the planes that hit the trade towers?

    Why was the only footage presented to the public from one of the most heavily guarded places in the world low quality footage showing only five frames at about one frame per second?

    The U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld admitted the day before the attack that the Pentagon was missing 2.3 trillion dollars. Could this attack on the Pentagon have anything to do with covering up that information?

    So what conclusion is this coming to? What’s the agenda of this major event that occurred on 9/11? Why did we go to war with Afghanistan and Iraq?

    David Rockefeller is quoted to be saying:

    «Some even believe we are part of a secret cabal working against the best interests of the United States, characterizing my family and me as ‘internationalists’ and of conspiring with others around the world to build a more integrated global political and economic structure–one world, if you will. If that’s the charge, I stand guilty, and I am proud of it.» – David Rockefeller, Memoirs

    Another video to watch is an infamous interview done with movie producer Aaron Russo titled, «Aaron Russo RFID Human Implant Chip»

    Aaron Russo produced such movies as Mad as Hell, Trading Places, and America: Freedom to Fascism. He gained the attention of a man named Nick Rockefeller who saw the movie Made as Hell and knew Aaron was running for governor of Nevada. Knowing the impact Aaron was having on society, who being a freedom fighter standing for the constitution of the United States, Nick sought to befriend him to subtly recruit him into his secret society.

    Aaron shares what Nick had told him:

    «He’s the one who told me 11 months before 9/11 ever happened that there was going to be an event. He never told me what the event was going to be…and out of that event we were going to invade Afghanistan to run pipelines from the Caspian Sea. We are going to invade Iraq to take over the oil fields to establish a base in the middle east, and make it all part of the New World Order…»

    «I remember he was telling me how he was going to see soldiers looking in caves for people in Afghanistan and Pakistan and all these places. And there was going to be this war on terror, where this is no real enemy, and the whole thing is a giant hoax. But it is a way for the government to take over the American people…»

    Aaron asked Nick, «What’s the end goal? And he said the end goal is to get everyone chipped to control the whole society. To have the bankers, the elite people controlling the world…»

    Visit http://WWW.BIBLEFREEDOM.COM to see all the proof! It is at the point where it takes more faith not to believe that the Bible truly is the word of God!

    You will see proof for Noah’s Ark, the Red Sea Crossing, Sodom and Gromorrah, scientific evidence the Bible is inspired by God, testimonies from all walks of life concerning Jesus, and much more!

    «EITHER HUMAN INTELLIGENCE ULTIMATELY OWES ITS ORIGIN TO MINDLESS MATTER OR THERE IS A CREATOR…» – JOHN LENNOX

    For some time, the dominate theory in the scientific community was that the universe was eternal, without a beginning. As progression was made, the final conclusion came to be that the universe is expanding from a single point known as the Big Bang, in which space, time and matter all came into existence at that single event.

    This troubled scientists who’s worldview was purely naturalistic, as this notion concludes that what caused the universe to come into existence must be spaceless, timeless, and inmateral, favoring the Biblical God.

    The non-biblical religions tell us that god or god’s create within space and time that eternally exist. The Bible stands alone and says that time and space don’t exist until God creates the universe.

    The Bible tells us that God is a Spirit who fills the Earth, the heavens, and the Heavens of Heavens cannot contain Him. That He dwells in unaproachable light, being eternal with no beginning. This is the type of being who could cause the universe to come into existence. This also fits with reason that there must be an uncaused cause, otherwise you are left with an infinite regression in which idea is not logically coherent.

    The Bible also states in multiple places that God stretches out the heavens, thousands of years before scientists discovered an expanding universe.

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    Jesus said to him, «I am the way, the truth, and the life. No one comes to the Father except through Me» (John 14:6).

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